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Analyst: "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." Chen Xing, chief macro analyst of Caitong Securities, said that this year's economic operation is generally stable, and risks in key areas have been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. Chen Xing believes that the Politburo meeting mentioned "stabilizing the property market and stock market" for the first time, and the core is to stabilize the prices of these two types of assets, namely house prices and stock indexes, which will help to repair the balance sheet of the residential sector, thus boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand.CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.The US military suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government. On the 9th, the US military said that it had suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government of the relevant situation. According to the Associated Press, the suspension of the flight was related to the plane crash that almost happened at an air base in New Mexico on November 20th.

CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.Many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. "Is it safe to travel to South Korea?" On the 9th, travelnoire, a platform focusing on African tourists, raised such a question. According to the report, the recent political events in South Korea have cast a shadow over this popular tourist destination. In fact, as the emergency martial law storm in South Korea continues to ferment, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. South Korea's "Asian Economy" reported on the 9th that the political and social uncertainty in South Korea has further intensified, and the inbound tourism market in South Korea, which has just resumed after the epidemic, is once again facing severe challenges. South Korea's New Zealand News Agency reported that due to the increasing political uncertainty in South Korea, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea.CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.

China's Ambassador to Ukraine met with Ukrainian Minister of Agricultural Policy and Food to jointly promote the upgrading of agricultural cooperation. According to the website of the Embassy of China in Ukraine, on December 9, 2024, Ambassador Ma Shengkun met with Ukrainian Minister of Agricultural Policy and Food Covali, and Tcaciuc, Director of Ukrainian Food Safety and Consumer Protection Agency, attended the meeting. The two sides had an extensive and in-depth exchange of views on cooperation in agriculture and food. Ambassador Ma said that China-Ukraine agricultural cooperation has a long history, good foundation and broad prospects, which is an important aspect of bilateral economic and trade cooperation. China has always attached great importance to it and is willing to strengthen cooperation with Uzbekistan in the fields of policy communication and coordination, mutual access of agricultural products and agricultural technology cooperation, and jointly promote the upgrading and upgrading of agricultural cooperation between the two countries. Minister Covali said that China and Ukraine are strategic partners, and China is the most important agricultural trade partner of Ukraine. Uzbekistan attaches great importance to Sino-Ukrainian agricultural cooperation and is willing to strengthen communication with China, improve the level of trade and jointly promote the agricultural development of the two countries.Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.South Korea's opposition party said that if necessary, it can seek to introduce additional budgets later.